Monthly Archives: September 2012

Crafting a Turnaround Plan

The turnaround plan for a company in decline is like a recipe to a cook. The effective restructuring of a business requires the preparation and implementation of a viable plan. The plan must be based information gathered from financial, operating and marketing sources. Good plans must also address cost containment and revenue enhancement, providing the executive team with a step-by-step process for reversing decline and stabilizing the business. It must also lead to orderly growth promoted through a flexible strategic plan.

In turnaround planning, objectives are created that can be accomplished quickly. Therefore, a turnaround plan should be direct, with a limited life not to exceed one year. Teams should initiate tactics (for example, increasing traffic to one’s website) on a weekly basis, then shift to biweekly and monthly to keep pace with the rate of change within the business. When objectives must be accomplished over a longer time span, it is time to prepare a flexible strategic plan.

The Purpose of a Turnaround Plan

The purpose of a turnaround plan is to provide an organizational focus and a timetable for all recovery activities. For example, measurable performance standards must be enforced. Therefore, key personnel should set objectives before the actual plan is drafted to encourage employees to commit to levels of performance that they believe are attainable. The team management approach will generate the ideal environment for enforcing the mandates of the plan, since every key employee will have been involved in its formulation and implementation.

Time and Money

Because turnarounds are time and dollar critical, the team should stick to the originally drafted plan as long as its underlying assumptions remain valid. When the parameters upon which the plan has been based change, it is time to modify all portions of the plan affected. However, the team should not abandon the plan upon first confrontation with undesirable results.

Outside Parties

To satisfy outside parties interested in the cause for company decline and the solutions underway to reverse it, the plan typically contains a brief section describing the background and historical evolution of the company. Additionally, some discussion of prior operating performance and an objective assessment of the current condition can help the team highlight the events that have caused the problems. Management should then state the problems that caused the decline and follow up with the solutions that have been implemented to address it. Sections on the vision and philosophy of the company are unnecessary, though some do outline the thought process that led to current strategies and goals. However, these thoughts may be more appropriate in a flexible strategic plan, since a turnaround plan is action oriented.

Reaching Ground Zero

In environments in which the business has always made money (and may still be making marginal, though unsatisfactory, returns), it may be difficult to deal with declining profitability. Reading financial reports that signal what may be the first downturn the company has suffered is not sufficient preparation for the struggles to come.  Some find it difficult to believe that what they are reading is accurate. The impulse to ignore the signals and hope that the situation improves can be overwhelming. At some point, however, the team must deal with the facts and acknowledge that money is being lost–either as a net loss or as a smaller return–and that radical change is needed.

Being brutally honest and objective about the status of the business is hard. But, if “ground zero” is never reached, recovery cannot begin in earnest.

Turning Around a Company Not in Trouble

Someone once asked John Whitney of Columbia Business School the question, “how do you turn around a company that isn’t in trouble?” John’s reply was classic–

“it is in trouble—it just isn’t in crisis yet. The idea is to avoid a crisis by changing the policies and procedures in the company so it can really compete globally, compete for the long term.”

John went on to say that waiting until a company is in trouble to fix it is management by exception. Over 20 years ago (before globalization and a worldwide economy became the hot topic it is today) Mr. Whitney observed that competition abroad to continuously improve would force companies domestically to keep focused on “management by review.“

Companies that have enjoyed success, however, can be reluctant to undertake change through what is termed an operational turnaround. It can be harder, though, without the threat of imminent insolvency, to change company culture and rituals. This type of management change relies far less on historical financial performance than on looking forward to what might be.

How to Know When You Need It

Sometimes, losing a big customer is the trigger point. But, losing one can be explained away. Losing multiple large customers and key employees should definitely raise your antennae. If you begin to take longer to take products to market and the competition keeps introducing new products faster, these patterns should make you consider getting outside help. Look to your customers and suppliers to provide industry feedback and “intel” on trends and patterns. 

While Others Cut Costs, Innovate

Suppliers know what’s happening and can advise how to improve your product. Eliminate layers in your company. Get back to communication in person. Lost time, will and energy to problem solve creatively is the biggest expense in most businesses. Regain respect for the people doing the work—respect their integrity, intelligence and commitment. Eschew over-control. Break down communication issues between departments. Cross-functional management focuses on running a system, each part dependent on  the other.    

John Whitney said that, when he watched Leonard Bernstein conducting Beethoven’s Ninth Symphony, he realized that Bernstein “did many of the same things a good manager does. There were parts of the score where he was deeply involved, working to make sure he got exactly the sound, the nuance he wanted. And he knew what he wanted. But he also knew when the orchestra had it going right, and he wasn’t afraid to lean back and just let it happen, let the musicians do their jobs and listen to the music all come together.”

How about you–are you willing to take a hard look at your organization and determine to become better, even though you are already good? Ever heard the expression, “good is the enemy of great?” Consider ways that you can improve information flow, creativity, problem solving and other soft skills. In addressing these seemingly minor issues while business is good, you prepare the way for an operational turnaround–innovation as some may call it in today’s vernacular!

 

 

Why You Can’t Turn the Company Around

Yesterday, we briefly touched on three different types of turnarounds–strategic, operational, and financial. The point was also made that many successful turnarounds are a combination of more than one type. If you have never had experience determining which type fits a given situation, chances are high that you will make some mistakes than could prevent the company’s successful recovery. There are at least two other reasons the desired recovery may never be seen–procrastination and delusion. We aim to explore both of these mindsets, but first want to dive deeper into our definitions of turnaround types. 

  • Strategic – the changing of markets and products, for instance going after new segments of the market.To do so would require new strategies and tactics with regards to promotions, pricing, design features that would need to be scheduled in the turnaround plan to guide management through the remarketing of the company.
  • Operational – transforms the cost structure of the operations. Unloading aged inventory and increasing sales efforts are two examples of use of this method. The operations section of a turnaround plan discusses schedules, budgets, estimating, purchase orders, direct costs, work in process, customer service, and time and dollars to get profitable work out the door.
  • Financial – this section of the turnaround plan ordinarily addresses debt structure, debt payment, accounts payable aging, accounts receivable strategy,  cash flow, inventory turns, revenue projections, and general and administrative cost structures (among other things). The costs recorded are actual, rather than accrual or standard, due to the time constraints of a crisis situation. 

The Danger of Procrastination

Too many companies decide to “ride it out” -like a foolish person in a coastal area with a category 5 hurricane approaching. Staying in the bad situation and only wringing one’s hands about lurking danger is NOT a solution! Management paralysis extends into business operations in the form of delayed strategic decisions. Those who refuse to admit that a problem actually exists do themselves, their employees, creditors, and customer a huge disservice. 

The business continues to lose credibility and money, and the loss of credibility can incapacitate a  leader’s ability to pursue many options. Teams must, therefore, avoid any procrastination and make the decisions necessary to initiate immediate action. Any delay simply makes the turnaround that much more difficult to accomplish.

The Investor Delusion

At this point, another common delusion is that a “white knight” investor exists who will swoop in and save the company with a cash infusion. Turnaround funds are only available when a credible turnaround exists, a plan that, not surprisingly, must include a substantial return for the turnaround investor. A desirable return normally includes the following:

  1. Origination fees for fund placements: 2 to 10 percent
  2. Management fees for recovery oversight: 5 percent
  3. Equity positions (transfer of ownership via stock): 25 percent or more
  4. Redemption based on retained earnings: 3 to 4 times retained earnings

As one can see…seeking the outside investor can make an imbalanced balance sheet much worse in a hurry. Instead, it’s wiser to work with existing stakeholders: vendors, lenders, (employees) and stockholders. Focus on management–not miracles!

Facing the Problem

When the executive team owns the fact that they must find a new, viable solution and they are willing to do “whatever it takes,” a new course of action must be chosen. Three distinct options should be considered:

  • A complete and comprehensive change in modus operandi–and the implementation of accountability and controls. This almost always is a shift to more team involvement in making decisions to counteract traditional one-man rule.
  • Pursuit of a bankruptcy procedure, led by attorneys, accountants, and others to protect the company assets and try to buy time. The turnaround plan is drafted in legal and accounting language and creditors are put at bay temporarily. Everything then hinges, however, on profitable growth moving forward.
  • Retaining a turnaround advisor who has significant experience in crisis situations is often the best choice. Often, bankruptcy filings can be avoided and the cash saved used to fuel a quicker recovery.

Your choice of option must be agreed upon by the entire management team if you plan to emerge with momentum. Greater transparency than ever before will win morale points with the team and the employees, plus help restore credibility with outsiders. With hard work, tighter controls, and improved leadership, you an “right the ship!”

Growth, Decline & Stabilization Via Turnaround

Clearly, many of the signals of company decline are a result of the growth a company may have experienced. When the growth ends and the business enters a period of stability, management may find itself unable to cope with the lack of growth. The team may continue to manage as if the rate of growth will continue in the near future. However, the plans for an expanding business differ markedly from those of a stable or declining one. When plans are not modified to address the new situation, companies often court trouble. A plan that is carved in granite will become part of the problem, rather than part of the solution.

Case Study: Be Tall Houses

be Tall Houses is an example of a company that has internal and external problems. Be Tall was building forty single-family homes in the $100,000-$150,000 price bracket annually. Sales stood at $4.5 million, and the company employed nine employees.  Internally, there were excessive layers of management, excess wages, material waste, cost overruns, employee morale problems, and information flow deficiencies. In short, the company had almost every signal of decline. Externally, new competition had entered the market. Since Be Tall had damaged its relationships with material suppliers, it could not receive the necessary materials to compete.

The company is now undergoing a turnaround. Part of the strategy is to reduce costs and payroll by a minimum of $250,000 per year. There is also a slump in Be Tall’s markets, so revenue has slipped. The internal elements were changed by laying off unnecessary supervisors, reducing wages, adding a profit-sharing plan, settling lawsuits with suppliers and resuming business on account, reducing costs, and adding computerized information systems to prevent selling homes below cost. External elements are being addressed by rebuilding relationships with suppliers and banks. Finally, Be Tall Houses’ image is being restored in the mind of new home buyers. For example:

  • low offers are being refused,
  • real estate agents are advised that the builder is doing fine, 
  • the builder’s presence in the local community has been heightened, and
  • the builder now meets personally with each buyer.

A building company–or any other company–that suffers from problems and decreased volume becomes a part of the industry and/or community “rumor mill.” Stakeholders–anyone who has an economic interest in the business–may begin to discuss the company’s demise before the business feels the impact of declining profitability. Customers may begin to complain about service. Small problems may take on monumental proportions.

Be hesitant to respond to rumors. Telling stakeholders optimistic stories only makes the situation worse when the stories never come true. A company in trouble needs to face its problems and seek advice on how to solve them. By managing the rumormongers part of the solution, rather than part of the problem, the top executive can begin to clear an effective path toward increased profitability.

Stabilization

Once the signals of a declining business are recognized, the hemorrhaging must be stopped. it is imperative that the company determine its future direction immediately. Faced with an enterprise that has suffered deteriorating value, direct and specific actions must be undertaken by the executive team to reverse the downward spiral. Clearly, changes need to be made; the question now becomes: how should this change be implemented?

The Turnaround: Three Methods

The methods employed in a turnaround vary from case to case but can generally be classified as strategic, operational, or financial (or some combination of the three): Strategic is a changing of markets and products. Operational is an emphasis on cost reductions, revenue generation, and asset reduction. Financial is a restructuring of the balance sheet and income statements to generate cash to fund business growth or reorganization.

 

Common Danger Signals of Company Decline

Previously, we have examined the internal and external elements of decline and some of the early warning signals of each. Notably, we have made the distinction that, while internal elements are easier to control, external elements are capable of being influenced as well. It is the responsibility of the executive team to coordinate marketing and sales, operations and finance in such a way as to anticipate changes in the environment and plan accordingly.

The clear danger signals of decline vary with the stages of decline, and become more serious as the decline intensifies. Some of the common danger signals are as follows:

Common Danger Signals

Early Decline:

  • shortage of cash
  • strained liquidity
  • reduced working capital
  • stretched accounts payable
  • late accounts receivable
  • reduction of return-on-investment (ROI) by 20-30 percent
  • flat sales
  • several quarters of losses
  • increased employee absenteeism
  • increased employee accidents
  • increased customer complaints (product quality, delivery)
  • late financial and management information

Mid-Term Decline:

  • increasing inventory
  • decreasing sales
  • decreasing margins
  • increased expenses
  • increased advances from banks
  • requests for additional considerations from banks
  • late and unreliable financial and management information
  • erosion of customer confidence
  • accelerated accounts payable from vendors
  • overdrafts at the bank
  • delayed accounts receivable from opportunistic customers
  • violation of loan covenants
  • bank used to cover payroll
  • increased interest rates on indebtedness from banks due to increased perception of risk

Late Decline:

  • little attention  paid to profit decrease
  • staff cutbacks without analyzing cause of problems
  • overdrawn bank accounts as substitute for line of credit
  • cash crisis
  • accounts payable 60-90 days late
  • accounts receivable 90+ days late
  • further decline in sales
  • extremely low employee morale
  • eroding company credibility
  • excessive decreased inventory turnover
  • supplier restrictions
  • fewer reports to bank
  • qualified opinion from auditor
  • bounced checks
  • cutoff on supplies
  • credit offsets
  • accounts receivable continuing to age
  • further decrease in margins
  • further decrease in volume of sales
  • increase in uncollectible receivables
  • no liquidity
  • depleted working capital
  • lack of funds for payroll
  • ineffective management
  • attempts to convince creditors that company is viable and that liquidation is not necessary

Signals That Can Occur At Any Stage:

  • decreased capital utilization
  • decreased market share in key product line(s)
  • increased overhead costs
  • increased management and employee turnover
  • salaries/benefits growing faster than productivity/profits
  • increased management layers
  • lost market share to competition, which is not keeping up with marketplace changes
  • management in conflict with corporate goals and objectives
  • opposing directions for company and management
  • sales forecasts that predict that company can sell its way out of difficulty
  • poor internal accounting
  • credit advances to customers who do not pay on time
  • non-seasonal borrowing
  • sudden overdrafts
  • increased trade credit inquiries (a signal that new vendors are being sought out)

Not all of these symptoms may appear; it is sufficient cause for self-examination if some of them occur. As the problems of the business increase, its reputation with suppliers, banks, current customers, and other stakeholders is severely diminished. A credibility gap may occur, placing the business in the position of having to defend itself not just from internal and external factors, but also from a loss of esteem in the business community. Credibility is a key factor to the success of a business. Just as a company’s credibility within the commercial and banking community can ensure its success, a lack of credibility can just as surely cause its demise.